(due to prior smoothing, sudden jumps in the new donor count, and my laziness this graph may at times be off by 10-15 percent. don't take it too seriously.)
The Exponential Moving Average is the best quarter prediction method for various mathy reasons.
The points on the rate graphs are smoothed to a normal curve with a standard deviation of 15 minutes.
Moving Average totals are at best meaningless, and at worst misleading here, since we know both the exact value and the general trend (donations will always increase). Thus all a moving average of a total would do is lag behind, and why it is omitted here.
The graphs are updated every 10 minutes. Source of the graph generator here. This thing's run via cron every 5 minutes. It's a hack, but it works. Data for Q4 and Q3 available upon request. If you want a graph with more pleasant dimensions for use in a news story, just email me.
Data gathered from Ron Paul's donation feed, the same one that feeds the flash donation tracker to the left.
Who made this? I'm Leo, but google may know me as generic shell. I had some spare time on my hands, hence this tracker.
Contact me via email. This page bears no official relation to the Ron Paul campaign, nor is it in any financial way supported by it. I just thought I'd put up some donation graphs.
